Date: January 2026 | Source: NGF Golf World Segmentation Study (2025) | Classification: Internal Strategy Document
74.8 million Americans are interested in golf but feel unwelcome. NGF's 2025 segmentation research reveals a broken pipeline that threatens golf's future and presents USGA with a defining strategic opportunity.
| Segment | Size | Converting to Regular Golf |
|---|---|---|
| Fusionists | 16.4M | Only 14% play regularly |
| MVPs | 58.4M | Only 3% play regularly (77% have NEVER played) |
| Total Opportunity | 74.8M | Interested but not entering the pipeline |
Meanwhile, USGA's current core audience (Premiers, Grinders, Therapeutics) totals just 23M people and is aging rapidly: 62% of Premiers are Boomers, 64% of Locals are Boomers.
Bottom Line: Without new golfers entering the pipeline, USGA's constituency shrinks every year.
| Initiative | Opportunity |
|---|---|
| GHIN Lite | Simplified handicap for casual golfers - no club affiliation required. If 10% of MVPs adopt = 5.8M new USGA members |
| Rules for Beginners | "Only 5 Rules You Need" - shift from intimidating to welcoming |
| Welcome Programming | "USGA Certified Beginner-Friendly" course designation |
| Off-Course Partnerships | Engage Topgolf, simulators as pipeline entry points |
| Championship Storytelling | Showcase relatable journeys, not just elite performance |
NGF has spent 31 years building the solution to this problem.
Welcome2Golf is a research-backed program with a proven 27% conversion rate (vs. 25% industry average). NGF validated the model across 13 facilities but lacks distribution scale. USGA has relationships with 16,000+ facilities.
Proposed Model: "Welcome2Golf - A USGA Initiative Powered by NGF Research"
| NGF Provides | USGA Provides | Combined Impact |
|---|---|---|
| 31 years of conversion research | 3.3M+ GHIN app users | Immediate distribution |
| 11-chapter beginner curriculum | Facility relationships | Scaled adoption |
| Proven 27% conversion methodology | "For the Good of the Game" brand | Mission-aligned activation |
| Scenario | Impact |
|---|---|
| 10% of MVPs adopt GHIN Lite | +5.8M handicap holders |
| 10% of Fusionists become regular | +1.6M core golfers |
| Combined | Largest membership expansion in USGA history |
Revenue implications: Handicap fees, expanded championship audiences, increased sponsor relevance for younger demographics.
Current State: Serve 23M core golfers as guardian of tradition
Future State: Welcome 74.8M interested Americans as the place where golf journeys begin
"We've protected the game for 130 years. Now we're opening the door wider so more people can experience what makes golf timeless."
If USGA doesn't lead on accessibility: - PGA of America could own the "welcoming" positioning - Topgolf becomes the de facto "welcome to golf" brand - Tech platforms create alternative handicap systems outside USGA
The organization that solves golf's accessibility problem will define the next era of the sport.
For the full strategic analysis and detailed recommendations, see: SEGMENTATION_STRATEGIC_POSITIONING.pdf
Contact: Reid Gorman, SVP Business Intelligence & Operations, National Golf Foundation